Society for Medical Decision Making

Session Titles:

Let's Talk About Risk, Baby: Approaches to (Risk) Communication

Advances in COVID Modelling

Keepin’ it Discrete: Looking at Preferences for Treatments

Why Do People Do What They Do?

Economic Burden of HIV

At the Frontier of Methodology

How Can We Make Better Decisions? Aids & Tools

Coping with Aging and Chronic Conditions

Informing COVID-19 Vaccinations and Public Health Policies

Why Do People Do What They Do? Special COVID-19 Edition

Population and Economic Impact of Cancer

Reducing Inequality and Population Mortality Risk

How Can We Make Better Decisions? Approaches

What About Non-COVID Infections?

Topics in Health Economic Evaluations and Individualized Care

Let's Talk About Risk, Baby: Approaches to (Risk) Communication

Monday, October 18 | 10:15 AM - 11:45 EDT | 2:15 PM to 3:45 PM UTC

Public health communications in a pandemic: Developing and user testing new digital communications
Presenter: Doriane Etienne
Category: DEC

Preferences for graphical presentation of probabilities in a contralateral breast cancer risk prediction model: An exploratory interview study among breast cancer survivors
Presenter: Ellen Engelhardt
Category: DEC

Explaining personalized risk information of treatment options: Does comparative information matter?
Presenter: Ruben D. Vromans
Category: DEC

“It’s kind of a waiting game”: A multicenter study of the words clinicians use to disclose prognosis to families of patients with critical neurologic illness
Presenter: Adeline Goss
Category: DEC

Variability of prognostication for critically ill neurologic patients: A multi-center mixed-methods study
Presenter: Connie Ge
Category: DEC

Electronic consent in a large-scale research study: Evaluation of participant experiences and attitudes
Presenter: Holly Peay
Category: DEC

Advances in COVID Modelling

Monday, October 18 | 10:15 AM - 11:45 EDT | 2:15 PM to 3:45 PM UTC

Effects of mitigation and control policies in realistic epidemic models accounting for household transmission dynamics
Presenter: Fernando Alarid-Escudero
Category: QMTD

Modeling the dynamics of COVID-19 in Los Angeles using traffic information
Presenter: Suyanpeng Zhang
Category: HSOP

Outbreaks of COVID-19 variants in prisons: A mathematical modeling analysis of vaccination and re- opening policies
Presenter: Theresa S. Ryckman
Category: HSOP

Comparison of national epidemics between a national-level model vs. state-specific aggregated epidemic models: Does heterogeneity matter?
Presenter:
Presenter: Valeria Gracia
Category: QMTD

Generalizability of prognostic models for patient-centered decisions in COVID-19: Transportability over time and space
Presenter: David van Klaveren
Category: QMTD

Optimal scheduling of a multi-clinic healthcare facility in the course of a pandemic
Presenter: Hossein Piri
Category: QMTD

Keepin’ it Discrete: Looking at Preferences for Treatments

Monday, October 18 | 10:15 AM - 11:45 EDT | 2:15 PM to 3:45 PM UTC

Preferences by proxy: A precarious expedient?
Presenter: Juan M. Gonzalez Sepulveda
Category: PSPE

Improvements to survey design from pilot testing a discrete choice experiment of patient preferences for long-acting antiretroviral medications
Presenter: Douglas Barthold
Category: PSPE

Eliciting treatment preferences in knee osteoarthritis: Using domain versus single item scores of the Western Ontario McMaster Universities (WOMAC) osteoarthritis index
Presenter: Christine Poulos
Category: PSPE

What contributes to a good death? A choice experiment on care indicators for terminally ill patients
Presenter: Drishti Baid
Category: PSPE

Patient-informed value elements influencing preferences for the treatment of major depressive disorder among adults
Presenter: Susan dosReis
Category: PSPE

Non-linearity in the cost attribute in discrete choice experiments: Implications for using estimated willingness-to-pay values for decision-making
Presenter: Garima Dalal
Category: PSPE

Why Do People Do What They Do?

Tuesday, October 19 | 11:00 AM – 12:30 AM EDT | 3:00 PM – 4:30 PM UTC

The development and validation of a simulation model-based clinical decision tool to guide personalized chemotherapy treatment decisions in early-stage breast cancer
Presenter: Jinani C. Jayasekera
Category: DEC

Factors Influencing Colorectal Cancer Screening Decision-Making Among Average-Risk Patients
Presenter: Xuan Zhu
Category: DEC

Determinants of offering genetic testing for men with prostate cancer among specialty and generalist providers at a safety-net hospital
Presenter: Christine M. Gunn
Category: DEC

Cancer risk algorithms: Can they improve physicians' risk estimates and referral decisions?
Presenter: Olga Kostopoulou
Category: DEC

Algorithm-based advice taking and clinical judgement: Impact of advice distance and algorithm information
Presenter: Bence Palfi
Category: DEC

"To be or not to be" cardio-pulmonary resuscitation for hospitalized patients with a low probability of benefit: Qualitative analysis of semi-structured interviews
Presenter: Daniel Kobewka
Category: DEC

Economic Burden of HIV

Tuesday, October 19 | 11:00 AM – 12:30 AM EDT | 3:00 PM – 4:30 PM UTC

Budget impact of local strategies to end the HIV epidemic on federal, state and public health department funding
Presenter: Benjamin Enns
Catagory: AHE

Modeling options for Ending the HIV Epidemic (EHE) goals for San Diego County
Presenter: Anthony C. Nguyen
Catagory: HSOP

The cost-effectiveness of HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis expansion depends on underlying epidemiological conditions: A modeling study in six US cities
Presenter: Emanuel Krebs
Catagory: AHE

Human immunodeficiency virus transmission by HIV risk group and along the HIV care continuum: A contrast of six US cities
Presenter: Xiao Zang
Catagory: HSOP

Development of a location-optimization model to inform placement of innovative diagnostic technologies for pediatric HIV
Presenter: Melike Yildirim
Catagory: HSOP

Projections of economic burden of HIV antiretroviral therapy in the United States: A simulation modeling study
Presenter: Chi-Fang Wu
Catagory: AHE

At the Frontier of Methodology

Tuesday, October 19 | 11:00 AM – 12:30 AM EDT | 3:00 PM – 4:30 PM UTC

Calculating expected value of sample information adjusting for imperfect implementation
Presenter: Anna Heath
Catagory: QMTD

Performance of methods for adjusting estimates of treatment effectiveness for patient non- adherence in the context of time-to-event outcomes and health technology assessment: A simulation study
Presenter: Abualbishr Alshreef
Catagory: QMTD

Automating digitization of published survival curves
Presenter: Juan David Rios
Catagory: QMTD

Using passive surveillance data to estimate HIV prevalence at the zip code level: A case of study in Atlanta, Georgia
Presenter: Enrique M. Saldarriaga
Catagory: QMTD

Incorporating adherence behaviors in optimal screening decisions: A modified POMDP approach
Presenter: Chou-Chun Wu
Catagory: QMTD

Impact of limited sample size and follow-up on single event survival extrapolation for health technology assessment: A simulation study
Presenter: Jaclyn Beca
Catagory: QMTD

How Can We Make Better Decisions? Aids & Tools

Tuesday, October 19 | 4:00 PM – 5:30 PM EDT | 8:00 PM – 9:30 PM UTC

Ask the parents: Testing the acceptability and usability of a hypospadias decision aid
Presenter: Kelsey E. Binion
Catagory: DEC

Does mental health cause homelessness or homelessness causes mental health?: A Bayesian decision network analysis
Presenter: Raghav Awasthi
Catagory: DEC

Decision Aid for Renal Therapy (DART) reduces decisional conflict and improves knowledge among older adults with kidney failure: A randomized clinical trial
Presenter: Keren Ladin
Catagory: DEC

Online patient decision aid for choice of early abortion method: User-centred design adaptation of a paper-based decision aid
Presenter: Kate Wahl
Catagory: DEC

Gist-based education program enhances opioid misuse risk perceptions but does not impact prescription opioid use or misuse among youth
Presenter: Rachel Lenko
Catagory: DEC

Child eczema drives caregivers’ major non-medical decisions: Results from an international caregiver-co- produced survey
Presenter: Alan Schwartz
Catagory: PSPE

Coping with Aging and Chronic Conditions

Tuesday, October 19 | 4:00 PM – 5:30 PM EDT | 8:00 PM – 9:30 PM UTC

Is annual screening for chronic kidney disease among diabetics optimal? Evaluating all policies for cost- effectiveness
Presenter: Chou-Chun Wu
Category: AHE

Effectiveness of an mhealth intervention on glucose monitoring for middle-aged to older adults with diabetes in Taiwan
Presenter: Shinyi Wu
Category: HSOP

Cost-effectiveness of dapagliflozin for non-diabetic chronic kidney disease
Presenter: Marika Cusick
Category: AHE

Using a modified Delphi process to develop a fall prevention intervention economic model
Presenter: Hailey Saunders
Category: AHE

Development and validation of DeciBHAL-US: A novel microsimulation model of hearing loss across the lifespan
Presenter: Ethan D. Borre
Category: AHE

Cost-effectiveness analysis of robotic-arm assisted total knee arthroplasty
Presenter: Yechu Hua
Category: AHE

Informing COVID-19 Vaccinations and Public Health Policies

Tuesday, October 19 | 4:00 PM – 5:30 PM EDT | 8:00 PM – 9:30 PM UTC

Improving the validity and utility of local estimates of COVID-19 vaccination intentions using high- resolution survey data and predictive modeling
Presenter: Marissa B. Reitsma
Category: HSOP

Projected cost-effectiveness of vaccination against COVID-19 in pediatric and adult populations
Presenter: Lisa Prosser
Category: AHE

Impact of age-based prioritization of COVID-19 vaccination on racial/ethnic disparities in mortality due to COVID-19 in the United States
Presenter: Marissa B. Reitsma
Category: HSOP

Impact of vaccination and relaxation of non-pharmaceutical interventions on controlling COVID-19 using agent-based simulation
Presenter: Serin Lee
Category: HSOP

Asymptomatic COVID-19 screening tests to facilitate full-time school attendance: model-based analysis of cost and impact
Presenter: Alyssa M. Bilinski
Category: AHE

Informing COVID-19 analytics for the California Department of Public Health
Presenter: Anneke L. Claypool
Category: HSOP

Why Do People Do What They Do? Special COVID-19 Edition

Wednesday, October 20 | 10:00 AM – 11:30 AM EDT | 2:00 PM – 3:30 PM UTC

Theory of planned behavior, health belief model, and social norm theory: Compliance with CDC emergency requirements to social distancing behavior among diverse populations through the lens of theoretical constructs
Presenter: Ilona Fridman
Category: DEC

Age and worry about others predict intentions to vaccinate against COVID-19 in the United States
Presenter: Jenna R. Rogers
Category: DEC

At-home self-testing kits for SARS-CoV-2: A randomized trial assessing how consumers interpret and act on hypothetical test results
Presenter: Barry Dewitt
Category: DEC

Identifying subgroups at risk for non-adherence to COVID-19 preventive measures based on risk perceptions and media use: A latent profile analysis
Presenter: Ruben D. Vromans
Category: DEC

Changes in adherence with recommended health behaviors and risk perceptions following the COVID-19 vaccination rollout in the US
Presenter: Alistair Thorpe
Category: DEC

A test of competing predictions for college student risk taking involving transmission of COVID-19
Presenter: Sarah Edelson
Category: DEC

Population and Economic Impact of Cancer

Wednesday, October 20 | 10:00 AM – 11:30 AM EDT | 2:00 PM – 3:30 PM UTC

Population impact of a citywide screening program of colorectal cancer in Mexico City: A modeling study
Presenter: Andrea Luviano
Category: HSOP

Cost-effectiveness of colorectal cancer screening with fecal immunochemical test in Mexico City
Presenter: Claudia L. Seguin
Category: AHE

Cost-effectiveness analysis of a low-risk febrile neutropenia care pathway for risk stratified children with cancer
Presenter: Michelle Tew
Category: AHE

Switching clinic-based cervical cancer screening programs to HPV self-sampling: A cost- effectiveness analysis of vaccinated and unvaccinated Norwegian women
Presenter: Kine Pedersen
Category: HSOP

Cost-effectiveness of de-intensifying cervical cancer screening for women vaccinated against human papillomavirus infections in Norway
Presenter: Allison Portnoy
Category: HSOP

Cost-effectiveness of serial magnetic resonance imaging for active surveillance of prostate cancer
Presenter: Christopher J. Magnani
Category: AHE

Reducing Inequality and Population Mortality Risk

Wednesday, October 20 10:00 AM – 11:30 AM EDT | 2:00 PM – 3:30 PM UTC

County-level income inequality, absolute income, and cause-specific mortality in the US, 1999-2018
Presenter: Ryan Suk
Category: AHE

Modeling the potential impact on mortality of income support policies in the US
Presenter: Anton L. V. Avanceña
Category: HSOP

The effect of increased initiation of and retention on medication for opioid use disorder on opioid overdose deaths in Kentucky, Massachusetts, New York, and Ohio: A modeling study
Presenter: Peter P. Mueller
Category: HSOP

Effectiveness of policies for addressing the us opioid epidemic: A model-based analysis
Presenter: Isabelle Rao
Category: HSOP

Estimation of causal effects of comorbidities on COVID-19 mortality in Hidalgo, Mexico accounting for competing and time-varying risks: A parametric multistate modeling approach
Presenter: Andrea Luviano
Category: HSOP

COVID-19 Excess Mortality and the Cost-Effectiveness of Treatment Options
Presenter: Diaz A. Hirvin
Category: AHE

How Can We Make Better Decisions? Approaches

Wednesday, October 20 | 3:30 PM – 5:00 PM EDT | 7:30 PM – 11:30 PM UTC

Deriving a health state classification system to measure health utilities for pediatric populations based on the PedsQL: A confirmatory factor analysis
Presenter: Ellen Kim DeLuca
Category: PSPE

Advancing methods for analyzing and visualizing patient-level data from discrete choice experiments to inform shared decision-making about chemotherapy
Presenter: Daniel R. Richardson
Category: PSPE

Treatment decision needs across levels of social support among patients with early psychosis: Implications for decision support
Presenter: Elizabeth Thomas
Category: DEC

Physicians and patient perspectives on the treatment decision process of unruptured intracranial aneurysms: A decisional needs assessment
Presenter: Xiao Yu Eileen Liu
Category: DEC

Shared decision making in goals-of-care meetings for critically ill neurologic patients: A multi-center study
Presenter: Abhinav V. Prasad
Category: DEC

Discordance between localized prostate cancer treatment choice and patient preferences regarding future bladder, bowel, or sexual function
Presenter: Rachel A. Pozzar
Category: DEC

What About Non-COVID Infections?

Wednesday, October 20 | 3:30 PM – 5:00 PM EDT | 7:30 PM – 11:30 PM UTC

Economic and health impact of pneumococcal vaccination in controlling the growth of antimicrobial resistance in Ethiopia, China, and Indonesia
Presenter: Hui-Han Chen
Category: AHE

Impact of low influenza activity in 2020-21 on the future influenza seasons
Presenter: Kyueun Lee
Category: HSOP

Cost Effectiveness Analysis of hepatitis C virus (HCV) point of care assay for HCV screening
Presenter: Vanessa Koo
Category: AHE

The impact of modeling assumptions on time-dependent disease outcome risk on the estimated effect of interventions: A measles vaccination case study
Presenter: Allison Portnoy
Category: HSOP

Cost-effectiveness of adding whole blood pathogen reduction to Ghana's blood safety program
Presenter: W. Alton Russell
Category: AHE

Using mixed methods to estimate the effect of expedited partner therapy on partner treatment for chlamydia trachomatis in Minnesota
Presenter: Emily A. Faherty
Category: HSOP

Topics in Health Economic Evaluations and Individualized Care

Wednesday, October 20 | 3:30 PM – 5:00 PM EDT | 7:30 PM – 11:30 PM UTC

Developing Criteria for Health Economic Quality Evaluation (CHEQUE) Tool
Presenter: David D. Kim
Category: AHE

Population-based newborn screening for Li-Fraumeni syndrome: Cost-effectiveness, clinical benefits and value of additional information
Presenter: Natalia Kunst
Category: HSOP

Clinical implications of wait-times for transcatheter aortic valve implantation in Ontario: A model-based analysis
Presenter: Rafael N. Miranda
Category: HSOP

Imaging surveillance of incidentally detected small gallbladder polyps: Maximal projected benefits by age, sex, and comorbidity level
Presenter: Barak Davidi
Category: HSOP

Pilot test of individualized preventive care recommendations for middle-aged adults: A randomized clinical trial
Presenter: Glen Taksler
Category: HSOP

Public preferences for subsidizing moderately life-extending treatments for patients with advanced illnesses
Presenter: Drishti Baid
Category: PSPE